The results suggest that while the #IEA has accurately anticipated primary and final energy demand growth, it has historically overestimated the growth in #fossil #fuels and #nuclear #electricity generation and severely underestimated the growth in key #renewable #technologies including solar #photovoltaics and #wind #power, the latter occurring across scenarios.

Source: sciencedirect.com/science/arti…

• #WEO #energy scenarios have significantly underestimated #solar PV growth potential.
• Outlook and normative scenarios indicate bias for nuclear and against renewables.
• Power-to-X flexibility options exist in the #GEC model, though their use is limited.
• Increased #transparency of assumptions for key technologies is required.
• Exogenous limitations of key technologies may impede global energy transitions.

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